In this work, we employ an agent-based integrated assessment model to study the likelihood of transition to green, sustainable growth in presence of climate damages. The model comprises heterogeneous fossil-fuel and renewable plants, capital- and consumption-good firms and a climate box linking greenhouse gasses emission to temperature dynamics and microeconomic climate shocks affecting labour productivity […]
Author Archive | Francesco Lamperti, Giovanni Dosi, Mauro Napoletano, Andrea Roventini and Alessandro Sapio
Debunking the Granular Origins of Aggregate Fluctuations: From Real Business Cycles back to Keynes
In this work we study the granular origins of business cycles and their possible underlying drivers. As shown by Gabaix (2011), the skewed nature of firm size distributions implies that idiosyncratic (and independent) firm-level shocks may account for a significant portion of aggregate volatility. Yet, we question the original view grounded on “supply granularity”, as […]
How to achieve the green transition
ISIGrowth is a 3-year EC Horizon 2020 funded project aimed at offering comprehensive diagnostics on the relationship between innovation, employment dynamics and growth in an increasingly globalized and financialized world economy. The project will provide a coherent policy toolkit to achieve the Europe 2020 objectives of smart, sustainable and inclusive growth. The theoretical foundation is […]
Rational Heuristics? Expectations and Behaviors in Evolving. Economies with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents
We analyze the individual and macroeconomic impacts of heterogeneous expectations and action rules within an agent-based model populated by heterogeneous, interacting firms. Agents have to cope with a complex evolving economy characterized by deep uncertainty resulting from technical change, imperfect information coordination hurdles and structural breaks. In these circumstances, we find that neither individual nor […]
What if supply-side policies are not enough? The perverse interaction of flexibility and austerity
In this work we develop a set of labour market and fiscal policy experiments upon the labour and credit augmented “Schumpeter meeting Keynes” agent-based model. The labour market is declined under two institutional variants, the “Fordist” and the “Competitive” setups meant to capture the historical transition from the Fordist toward the post “Thatcher- Reagan” period. […]
Endogenous growth and global divergence in a multi-country agent-based model
In this paper we present a multi-country, multi-industry agent-based model investigating the different growth patterns of interdependent economies. Each country features a Schumpeterian engine of endogenous technical change which interacts with Keyneasian/Kaldorian demand generation mechanisms. National growth trajectories are driven by firms’ accumulation of technological knowledge, which in turn also leads to emergent specialization patterns […]
Technological catching-up, sales dynamics and employment growth: evidence from China’s manufacturing firms
This paper investigates the microeconomics of employment dynamics, using a Chinese manufacturing firm-level dataset over the period 1998-2007. It does so in the light of a scheme of “circular and cumulative causation”, whereby firms’ heterogeneous productivity gains and sales dynamics, and innovation activities ultimately shape the patterns of employment dynamics. Using firm’s productivity growth as […]
Agent-Based Macroeconomics and Classical Political Economy: Some Italian Roots
In this work, we discuss how the rich academic milieu left by different Italian political economy traditions after WWII paved the way to the development of a new generation of macroeconomic agent-based models. The K+S (Dosi et al., 2010, 2016a), CATS (Delli Gatti et al., 2005, 2011) and EURACE (Cincotti et al., 2010; Teglio et […]
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